SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.21%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Fulham win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Newcastle United |
34.87% ( 0.05) | 23.68% ( -0.01) | 41.45% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 62.33% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.39% ( 0.05) | 39.6% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.04% ( 0.05) | 61.95% ( -0.05) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.36% ( 0.05) | 22.64% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.73% ( 0.08) | 56.26% ( -0.08) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.56% | 19.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.73% ( -0) | 51.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.54% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.86% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 3.3% Total : 34.87% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.67% | 1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.79% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.56% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 3.27% Total : 41.45% |
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