SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.98%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Newcastle United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Newcastle United |
32.56% ( -0.24) | 23.11% ( -0.08) | 44.33% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 63.64% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.44% ( 0.28) | 37.56% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.21% ( 0.3) | 59.79% ( -0.3) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.05% ( -0.01) | 22.95% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.27% ( -0.01) | 56.73% ( 0.01) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.61% ( 0.24) | 17.39% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.18% ( 0.41) | 47.82% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 32.56% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.24% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.07% Total : 44.33% |
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