SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 42%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Fulham win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Norwich City |
33.86% ( 0.1) | 24.14% ( 0.11) | 42% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 60.33% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.9% ( -0.5) | 42.1% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.49% ( -0.5) | 64.5% ( 0.51) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.63% ( -0.18) | 24.36% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.23% ( -0.25) | 58.77% ( 0.26) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.76% ( -0.3) | 20.24% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.43% ( -0.49) | 52.57% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Norwich City |
| 2-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.82% Total : 33.86% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.14% | 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.95% Total : 42% |
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