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FL
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Craven Cottage
NL

Fulham
2 - 1
Norwich

Vinicius (12'), Iwobi (72')
Muniz (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sainz (75')
McCallum (16'), Placheta (45'), Warner (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Fulham
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Plymouth 6-2 Norwich
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Fulham 3-1 Norwich City

Each team will probably make changes for this contest, throwing open the possibility of any result occurring at Craven Cottage. However, we can only back the home side, who have players in their squad who will want to impress in games such as this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 42%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Fulham win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
FulhamDrawNorwich City
33.86% (0.101 0.1) 24.14% (0.113 0.11) 42% (-0.213 -0.21)
Both teams to score 60.33% (-0.375 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.9% (-0.502 -0.5)42.1% (0.502 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.49% (-0.504 -0.5)64.5% (0.50600000000001 0.51)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.63% (-0.178 -0.18)24.36% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23% (-0.254 -0.25)58.77% (0.256 0.26)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.76% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)20.24% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.43% (-0.491 -0.49)52.57% (0.493 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Fulham 33.86%
    Norwich City 42%
    Draw 24.14%
FulhamDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 7.85% (0.021 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.96% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 4.92% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.7% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.31% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 33.86%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.93% (0.11 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.14%
1-2 @ 8.89% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.29% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.89% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 42%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Fulham
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 1-0 Luton
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 5-1 Fulham
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 1-1 Spurs (5-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Arsenal 2-2 Fulham
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 0-3 Brentford
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Plymouth 6-2 Norwich
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-2 Leicester
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Norwich
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Huddersfield 0-4 Norwich
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship


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