SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Norwich City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Norwich City |
32.04% ( 0.2) | 24.85% ( 0.01) | 43.1% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 57.17% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.05% ( 0.02) | 45.95% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.74% ( 0.02) | 68.25% ( -0.02) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.69% ( 0.14) | 27.31% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.25% ( 0.18) | 62.75% ( -0.18) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.65% ( -0.09) | 21.35% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.68% ( -0.14) | 54.32% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Norwich City |
| 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.04% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.85% | 1-2 @ 9.02% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.64% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 43.1% |
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