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EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
NL

Bristol City
0 - 1
Norwich

 
FT(HT: 0-0)
Placheta (49')
Giannoulis (79'), Forshaw (86'), Barnes (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Bristol City
Friday, August 25 at 7.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 0-4 Norwich
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 0-1 Norwich City

Norwich City have made a flying start to the campaign, so we expect them to continue their unbeaten run and book their place in the third round on Tuesday night. Although they lost their last match at Ashton Gate, Norwich have a very good recent record against Bristol City, and they have started the season far better. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Norwich City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.

Result
Bristol CityDrawNorwich City
32.04% (0.202 0.2) 24.85% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 43.1% (-0.218 -0.22)
Both teams to score 57.17% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.05% (0.021000000000001 0.02)45.95% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.74% (0.02 0.02)68.25% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.69% (0.13799999999999 0.14)27.31% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.25% (0.18 0.18)62.75% (-0.184 -0.18)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.65% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)21.35% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.68% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)54.32% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 32.04%
    Norwich City 43.1%
    Draw 24.85%
Bristol CityDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 7.58% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.57% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.91% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.28% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.13% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 32.04%
1-1 @ 11.68%
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.85%
1-2 @ 9.02% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 9% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.95% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.64% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.58% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.38% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 43.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Bristol City
Friday, August 25 at 7.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-2 Birmingham
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Bristol City
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 5-1 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Preston
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-1 Bristol City
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Huddersfield 0-4 Norwich
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Millwall
Sunday, August 20 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-1 Norwich
Wednesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Southampton 4-4 Norwich
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-1 Hull City
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Olympiacos
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1


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