SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Leicester City |
38.04% ( -0.3) | 25.69% ( 0.02) | 36.28% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 55.3% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.2% ( -0.06) | 48.8% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.1% ( -0.05) | 70.9% ( 0.06) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.86% ( -0.19) | 25.14% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.15% ( -0.26) | 59.85% ( 0.27) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% ( 0.14) | 26.12% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.81% ( 0.18) | 61.19% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Leicester City |
| 1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 38.04% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.32% Total : 36.28% |
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