SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a GAIS win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a GAIS win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| GAIS | Draw | Kalmar |
47.87% ( -0.02) | 23.88% ( 0.01) | 28.25% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.3% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.51% ( -0.02) | 43.49% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.12% ( -0.02) | 65.88% ( 0.03) |
| GAIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.68% ( -0.02) | 18.32% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.59% ( -0.03) | 49.41% ( 0.04) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.38% ( 0) | 28.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.57% | 64.43% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| GAIS | Draw | Kalmar |
| 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.55% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.27% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 3.51% Total : 47.87% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.63% Total : 28.25% |
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