Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
-2.2) 
2.46) 
