Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 19.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
-1.59) 
0.53) 
