Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Avispa Fukuoka would win this match.
