SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 53.8%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Club Brugge |
53.8% ( 0.04) | 22.55% | 23.65% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.36% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.63% ( -0.03) | 41.36% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.24% ( -0.03) | 63.76% ( 0.03) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.63% ( 0) | 15.36% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.85% ( 0) | 44.15% ( -0) |
| Club Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.96% ( -0.05) | 31.04% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.65% ( -0.06) | 67.35% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Club Brugge |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.07% 5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 53.8% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.55% | 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.26% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 23.65% |
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