SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 51.63%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Union SG win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Union SG |
51.63% ( -0.05) | 22.61% ( 0.02) | 25.76% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 60.54% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.44% ( -0.04) | 39.56% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.09% ( -0.04) | 61.91% ( 0.05) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.54% ( -0.03) | 15.46% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.67% ( -0.06) | 44.33% ( 0.07) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.61% ( 0.01) | 28.39% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.86% ( 0.01) | 64.14% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Union SG |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.65% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 3.81% Total : 51.63% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.6% | 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 3.52% Total : 25.76% |
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