SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Genk had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Genk win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Club Brugge |
31.48% ( 0) | 23.83% ( 0.11) | 44.69% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 60.51% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.54% ( -0.52) | 41.46% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.14% ( -0.53) | 63.86% ( 0.53) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.53% ( -0.25) | 25.47% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.69% ( -0.34) | 60.3% ( 0.34) |
| Club Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.19% ( -0.25) | 18.81% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.77% ( -0.43) | 50.23% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Club Brugge |
| 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.48% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.82% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.73% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.41% Total : 44.69% |
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