SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.66%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Leuven win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Genk |
34.94% ( 1.85) | 23.18% ( 0.03) | 41.88% ( -1.88) |
| Both teams to score 64.22% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.86% ( 0.42) | 37.14% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.66% ( 0.45) | 59.34% ( -0.45) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.53% ( 1.19) | 21.47% ( -1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.5% ( 1.8) | 54.5% ( -1.8) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.77% ( -0.6) | 18.23% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.75% ( -1.04) | 49.25% ( 1.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.94% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.17% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.35)1-3 @ 4.95% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.26)1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.76% Total : 41.88% |
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