SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Standard Liege |
49.03% ( -1.27) | 23.63% ( 0.14) | 27.34% ( 1.13) |
| Both teams to score 58.43% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.01% ( 0.26) | 42.99% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.61% ( 0.25) | 65.39% ( -0.26) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.32% ( -0.38) | 17.68% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.69% ( -0.67) | 48.31% ( 0.67) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.98% ( 0.98) | 29.02% ( -0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.08% ( 1.2) | 64.92% ( -1.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Standard Liege |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.76% Total : 49.03% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.41% Total : 27.34% |
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