Considering Gent's outstanding form of late as well as Genk's inconsistency, the away side should be favourites in Sunday's matchup. However, clashes between the two sides have often been close affairs and with so much at stake, the game could be tense and low scoring. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 44%. A win for Genk had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Genk win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.

Result
Genk	Draw	Gent
32.34%	23.66%	44%

Both teams to score 61.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.7%

40.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.32%

62.67%

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.61%

24.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.2%

58.8%

Gent Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.37%

18.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.06%

49.93%

Score Analysis

Genk 32.34%

Gent 44%

Draw 23.66%

Genk	Draw	Gent
2-1 @ 7.6% 1-0 @ 6.41% 2-0 @ 4.52% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 3% 3-0 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.34%	1-1 @ 10.77% 2-2 @ 6.39% 0-0 @ 4.54% 3-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.66%	1-2 @ 9.05% 0-1 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 6.42% 1-3 @ 5.07% 0-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 3.58% 1-4 @ 2.13% 0-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.51% Total : 44%