Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
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