SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 78.19%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Westerlo had a probability of 8.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.02%), while for a Westerlo win it was 1-2 (2.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gent | Draw | Westerlo |
78.19% ( -0.17) | 13.33% ( 0.07) | 8.48% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 54.27% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.5% ( 0.02) | 28.5% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.64% ( 0.02) | 49.36% ( -0.01) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.18% ( -0.02) | 5.82% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.63% ( -0.08) | 22.37% ( 0.08) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.62% ( 0.24) | 42.38% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.24% ( 0.2) | 78.76% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gent | Draw | Westerlo |
| 2-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.73% Total : 78.19% | 1-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.47% ( -0)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 13.33% | 1-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.82% Total : 8.48% |
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