SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Royal Antwerp win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Royal Antwerp |
44.35% ( -0.31) | 24.49% ( 0.11) | 31.16% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 58.04% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.36% ( -0.38) | 44.64% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.99% ( -0.37) | 67.01% ( 0.38) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.75% ( -0.29) | 20.25% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.42% ( -0.47) | 52.59% ( 0.48) |
| Royal Antwerp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.77% ( -0.05) | 27.23% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.35% ( -0.07) | 62.65% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Royal Antwerp |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.88% Total : 44.35% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.48% | 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 31.16% |
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