SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Royal Antwerp win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Royal Antwerp | Draw | Genk |
36.83% ( -4.63) | 25% ( 0.27) | 38.17% ( 4.36) |
| Both teams to score 57.74% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.32% ( -0.79) | 45.67% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32% ( -0.76) | 67.99% ( 0.76) |
| Royal Antwerp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.63% ( -2.7) | 24.37% ( 2.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.23% ( -3.97) | 58.77% ( 3.97) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.35% ( 2.06) | 23.65% ( -2.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.25% ( 2.88) | 57.75% ( -2.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Royal Antwerp | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.57) 1-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.38)2-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.77)3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.61)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.62)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.35)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.32)Other @ 1.93% Total : 36.83% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.19% Total : 25% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.6) 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.74)0-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.85)1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.51)0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.55)2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.26)0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.25)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.17% |
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