SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 18.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Reggiana win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Genoa.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Reggiana |
58.68% ( -0.04) | 22.43% ( -0) | 18.88% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.64% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.11% ( 0.07) | 46.88% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.86% ( 0.06) | 69.13% ( -0.07) |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.35% ( 0) | 15.64% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.33% ( 0.01) | 44.66% ( -0.02) |
| Reggiana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.22% ( 0.09) | 38.77% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.49% ( 0.08) | 75.51% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | Reggiana |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.99% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 58.67% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.43% | 0-1 @ 5.75% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 18.88% |
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