Genoa have witnessed many thrillers at home so far this season, including the 4-3 win over Modena in the last round, and even though rotation is likely, they should still progress here.
Reggiana have hit a good run of form at a great time to take on a side in the division above, and they should make it a competitive encounter, even if they are likely to come up just short.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 51.43%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Reggiana win it was 0-1 (7.39%).
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