Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.
-0.18) 
0.08) 
