SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Germany | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Hungary | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 | Scotland | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Germany | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Hungary | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 | Scotland | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 48.18%. A win for Hungary had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Hungary win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Germany | Draw | Hungary |
48.18% ( -0.01) | 24.02% ( 0) | 27.8% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.48% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.58% ( -0.01) | 44.43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.21% ( -0.01) | 66.8% ( 0.01) |
| Germany Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.44% ( -0.01) | 18.56% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.18% ( -0.02) | 49.82% ( 0.02) |
| Hungary Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.57% ( -0) | 29.43% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.58% ( -0) | 65.43% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Germany | Draw | Hungary |
| 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.32% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.35% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 3.4% Total : 48.18% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.68% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 27.8% |
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