While Hungary have shown that they can compete with any nation in the world, they are generally harder to beat when playing in front of their vociferous home support. The absence of Sallai could deny them a useful out-ball in transition, and we expect Germany to have too much control and ability in possession for them in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Hungary had a probability of 18.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Hungary win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Germany	Draw	Hungary
58.04% ( 0.25)	23.69% ( -0.19)	18.27% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 46.81% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.2% (

0.65)

52.8% (

-0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.57% (

0.55)

74.42% (

-0.55)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.03% (

0.33)

17.97% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.19% (

0.56)

48.81% (

-0.56)

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.06% (

0.32)

42.94% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.76% (

0.27)

79.24% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Germany 58.03%

Hungary 18.27%

Draw 23.68%

Germany	Draw	Hungary
1-0 @ 13.24% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.38% Total : 58.03%	1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.68%	0-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.78% Total : 18.27%