Getafe won both league meetings last season, and they are unbeaten against Osasuna in Spain's top flight since early 2014. The visitors are a strong outfit, though, and we can see the points being shared on Sunday, which would not be the worst result in the world for either side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.12%) and 2-1 (8.03%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.
0.81) 
-1.36) 
