This is a tricky game for both sides, and we are finding it difficult to separate them here. Five of the last six La Liga matches between the two teams have finished all square, and we are predicting another stalemate this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 36.26%. A win for Girona had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match.
-0.06) 
0.08) 
