SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 36.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Glentoran | Draw | Linfield |
36.22% ( 0.75) | 24.51% ( 0.08) | 39.28% ( -0.83) |
| Both teams to score 59.5% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.61% ( -0.26) | 43.39% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.21% ( -0.25) | 65.79% ( 0.25) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.35% ( 0.3) | 23.65% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.25% ( 0.42) | 57.75% ( -0.42) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% ( -0.51) | 22.07% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.58% ( -0.78) | 55.42% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glentoran | Draw | Linfield |
| 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.11% Total : 36.22% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 8.59% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.45% Total : 39.28% |
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