SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 49.61%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 0-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Glentoran |
49.61% ( 0.15) | 24.12% ( -0.05) | 26.26% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.81% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.98% ( 0.1) | 46.02% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.68% ( 0.1) | 68.32% ( -0.1) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.39% ( 0.1) | 18.61% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.1% ( 0.17) | 49.9% ( -0.17) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.57% ( -0.03) | 31.42% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.2% ( -0.04) | 67.8% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Linfield | Draw | Glentoran |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 49.62% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.12% | 0-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 26.26% |
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