SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Linfield win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Glentoran | Draw | Linfield |
39.33% ( 0.18) | 26.03% ( -0.03) | 34.63% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 53.95% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.55% ( 0.11) | 50.44% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.62% ( 0.1) | 72.37% ( -0.1) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.8% ( 0.15) | 25.19% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.07% ( 0.2) | 59.92% ( -0.21) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.12% ( -0.04) | 27.87% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.51% ( -0.05) | 63.48% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glentoran | Draw | Linfield |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 39.33% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 34.63% |
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