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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Windsor Park

Linfield
2 - 0
Glentoran

Hall (36'), Fitzpatrick (59')
Cooper (33'), Mulgrew (38'), Finlayson (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McCarey (28'), Donnelly (79'), Kane (89')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Linfield and Glentoran.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Linfield 2-1 Coleraine
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 1-2 Glentoran
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 0-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
LinfieldDrawGlentoran
50.3% (-0.195 -0.2) 23.96% (0.139 0.14) 25.73% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Both teams to score 55.86% (-0.413 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.27% (-0.572 -0.57)45.72% (0.566 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.95% (-0.545 -0.54)68.04% (0.54000000000001 0.54)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.77% (-0.295 -0.3)18.23% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.74% (-0.501 -0.5)49.25% (0.496 0.5)
Glentoran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.31% (-0.261 -0.26)31.68% (0.257 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.89% (-0.303 -0.3)68.1% (0.297 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Linfield 50.3%
    Glentoran 25.73%
    Draw 23.95%
LinfieldDrawGlentoran
1-0 @ 9.83% (0.145 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.37% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.75% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 50.3%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.138 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.95%
0-1 @ 6.64% (0.113 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 3.81% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 25.73%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Linfield 2-1 Coleraine
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 0-2 Linfield
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 4-3 Dungannon
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 4-0 Linfield
Friday, December 1 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 4-0 Ballymena
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 1-2 Larne
Saturday, November 11 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 1-2 Glentoran
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 1-0 Newry City AFC
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 2-2 Glentoran
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 4-0 Linfield
Friday, December 1 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 2-1 Glentoran
Friday, November 24 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 5-0 Ballymena
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership


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