SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Glentoran | Draw | Linfield |
33.61% ( 0.02) | 25.69% ( 0) | 40.7% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.81% ( -0.01) | 49.18% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.75% ( -0.01) | 71.25% ( 0.01) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.1% ( 0.01) | 27.9% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.48% ( 0.02) | 63.51% ( -0.02) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.09% ( -0.02) | 23.91% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.87% ( -0.02) | 58.12% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glentoran | Draw | Linfield |
| 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.44% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 33.61% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.83% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.16% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 40.7% |
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