SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 60.04%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 20.7% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.24%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (5.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
20.7% ( -0.02) | 19.26% ( -0.01) | 60.04% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 66.26% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.75% ( 0.02) | 29.25% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.72% ( 0.03) | 50.28% ( -0.03) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.36% ( 0) | 26.64% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.12% ( 0) | 61.88% ( -0) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.33% ( 0.01) | 9.67% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.74% ( 0.03) | 32.26% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 5.27% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.41% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.32% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.25% ( -0)3-0 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 3.75% Total : 20.7% | 1-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.58% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.46% Total : 19.26% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( -0) 1-3 @ 7.24% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.03% ( -0)0-1 @ 6.02% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.47% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.79% ( 0)1-4 @ 4.23% ( 0)0-4 @ 3.2% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.8% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.98% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.49% ( 0)2-5 @ 1.31% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 3.96% Total : 60.04% |
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