SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
43.54% ( -0.21) | 25.33% ( 0.17) | 31.13% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.17% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.62% ( -0.73) | 48.37% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.49% ( -0.67) | 70.51% ( 0.67) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.82% ( -0.41) | 22.18% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.42% ( -0.62) | 55.58% ( 0.61) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.89% ( -0.35) | 29.1% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.97% ( -0.43) | 65.03% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.54% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.54% Total : 31.13% |
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