SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 77.97%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 7.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.54%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 0-1 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
77.97% ( -0.34) | 14.08% ( 0.28) | 7.95% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 48.04% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.3% ( -1.2) | 34.7% ( 1.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.34% ( -1.36) | 56.65% ( 1.36) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.81% ( -0.33) | 7.18% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.9% ( -0.87) | 26.1% ( 0.88) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.75% ( -0.72) | 48.24% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.59% ( -0.53) | 83.41% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 2-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.09)1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.4)2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.15)5-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.09)6-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.07)6-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.1% Total : 77.95% | 1-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.77% Total : 14.08% | 0-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 7.95% |
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