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Eredivisie | Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
De Adelaarshorst
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Go Ahead Eagles
2 - 2
Nijmegen

Kuipers (74'), Edvardsen (87' pen.)
Kramer (41'), Kuipers (45+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mattsson (45+5' pen.), Chery (83')
Verdonk (34'), van Rooij (45'), Cillessen (80'), Sandler (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 0-2 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, January 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-0 FC Twente
Saturday, January 20 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 NEC

Go Ahead Eagles and NEC are closely matched in the standings, and this weekend's clash could easily swing either way. We are backing a share of the spoils with the teams settling for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 59.86%. A win for NEC had a probability of 21.02% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (5.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Go Ahead EaglesDrawNEC
59.86% (-0.942 -0.94) 19.13% (0.367 0.37) 21.02% (0.575 0.57)
Both teams to score 67.34% (-0.48400000000001 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.89% (-0.985 -0.98)28.11% (0.986 0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.12% (-1.234 -1.23)48.88% (1.234 1.23)
Go Ahead Eagles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.62% (-0.501 -0.5)9.38% (0.503 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.43% (-1.201 -1.2)31.57% (1.203 1.2)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.31% (-0.12100000000001 -0.12)25.7% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.39% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)60.61% (0.169 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Go Ahead Eagles 59.86%
    NEC 21.02%
    Draw 19.13%
Go Ahead EaglesDrawNEC
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 7.24% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.092 0.09)
1-0 @ 5.7% (0.206 0.21)
3-0 @ 5.33% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.92% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-1 @ 4.28% (-0.155 -0.16)
4-0 @ 3.15% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-2 @ 2.91% (-0.116 -0.12)
5-1 @ 2.03% (-0.122 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.49% (-0.084 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.38% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-3 @ 1.32% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 59.86%
1-1 @ 7.75% (0.254 0.25)
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.042 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.41% (0.14 0.14)
3-3 @ 2.23% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 19.13%
1-2 @ 5.27% (0.154 0.15)
0-1 @ 3.27% (0.179 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.39% (0.062 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.23% (0.115 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.049 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 21.02%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sparta 0-2 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, January 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 2-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Wednesday, January 17 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 2-3 Ajax
Sunday, January 14 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 7-1 De Treffers
Thursday, December 21 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Excelsior 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Saturday, December 16 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 0-2 Utrecht
Sunday, December 10 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-0 FC Twente
Saturday, January 20 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 2-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Wednesday, January 17 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Feyenoord 2-2 Nijmegen
Sunday, January 14 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: GVVV 1-6 Nijmegen
Wednesday, December 20 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Nijmegen 4-1 Sittard
Friday, December 15 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-3 Nijmegen
Saturday, December 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie


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