Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 40.51%. A draw had a probability of 31.4% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 2-1 (7.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.76%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Godoy Cruz would win this match.
Result | ||
Godoy Cruz | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
40.51% ( -0.38) | 31.39% ( -0.26) | 28.1% ( 0.64) |
Both teams to score 37.38% ( 0.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
29.97% ( 0.84) | 70.03% ( -0.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
12.75% ( 0.53) | 87.25% ( -0.53) |
Godoy Cruz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.8% ( 0.23) | 34.2% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.11% ( 0.25) | 70.89% ( -0.25) |
Newell's Old Boys Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.81% ( 1.07) | 43.19% ( -1.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.55% ( 0.88) | 79.45% ( -0.89) |
Score Analysis |
Godoy Cruz | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
1-0 @ 15.84% ( -0.4) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.36% Total : 40.51% | 0-0 @ 14.76% ( -0.47) 1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.32% Total : 31.38% | 0-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.88% Total : 28.1% |
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