SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Godoy Cruz win was 0-1 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
39.22% ( 0.14) | 29.19% ( 0.02) | 31.59% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 43.84% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.15% ( -0.12) | 62.84% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.64% ( -0.09) | 82.35% ( 0.08) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.8% ( 0.03) | 31.2% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.46% ( 0.03) | 67.54% ( -0.03) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.71% ( -0.19) | 36.28% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.93% ( -0.19) | 73.07% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 1-0 @ 13.18% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 39.21% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.17% | 0-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 31.59% |
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