SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 48.2%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.59%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
48.2% ( 0.09) | 29.55% ( -0.15) | 22.25% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 37.53% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.22% ( 0.43) | 67.78% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.21% ( 0.29) | 85.79% ( -0.29) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.31% ( 0.27) | 28.69% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.49% ( 0.33) | 64.52% ( -0.33) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.64% ( 0.33) | 47.37% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.24% ( 0.24) | 82.76% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 1-0 @ 16.96% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.39% Total : 48.19% | 0-0 @ 13.59% ( -0.21) 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.33% Total : 29.55% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.43% Total : 22.24% |
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