SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 46.85%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 22.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.38%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | San Lorenzo |
46.85% ( 4.09) | 30.89% ( -0.84) | 22.26% ( -3.25) |
| Both teams to score 34.83% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 28.86% ( 0.56) | 71.14% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.05% ( 0.35) | 87.95% ( -0.34) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.86% ( 2.62) | 31.13% ( -2.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.54% ( 2.96) | 67.46% ( -2.95) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.58% ( -2.89) | 49.42% ( 2.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.75% ( -2.12) | 84.25% ( 2.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 17.95% ( 0.9) 2-0 @ 10.47% ( 1.21)2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.3)3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.72)3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.31)4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.89% Total : 46.84% | 0-0 @ 15.38% ( -0.32) 1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.4)2-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.25% Total : 30.88% | 0-1 @ 10.84% ( -1.17) 1-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.53)0-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.78)1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.23)Other @ 2.08% Total : 22.25% |
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