Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 20.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.06%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Godoy Cruz | Draw | Sarmiento |
50.6% ( -0.77) | 28.75% ( -0.56) | 20.65% ( 1.32) |
Both teams to score 37.66% ( 2.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
33.29% ( 2.43) | 66.71% ( -2.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.93% ( 1.61) | 85.07% ( -1.61) |
Godoy Cruz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.03% ( 0.81) | 26.97% ( -0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.69% ( 1.05) | 62.31% ( -1.05) |
Sarmiento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.56% ( 3.01) | 48.43% ( -3.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.45% ( 2.09) | 83.55% ( -2.09) |
Score Analysis |
Godoy Cruz | Draw | Sarmiento |
1-0 @ 17.11% ( -1.19) 2-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.51) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.34) 3-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.23) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.62% Total : 50.58% | 0-0 @ 13.06% ( -1.23) 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.36) Other @ 0.33% Total : 28.75% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.46) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.16% Total : 20.65% |
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