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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 23, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estádio de Hailé Pinheiro
U

Goias
1 - 0
Universitario

Apodi (89')
Ricardo (15'), Melo (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Perez (31'), Riveros (44'), Di Benedetto (48'), Corzo (84')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Goias and Universitario.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bahia 1-1 Goias
Saturday, May 20 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Universitario 2-0 Santa Fe
Friday, May 5 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 48.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Universitario had a probability of 24.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Universitario win it was 0-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Goias in this match.

Result
GoiasDrawUniversitario
48.17% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 26.9% (-0.012 -0.01) 24.94% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.31% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.1% (0.024999999999999 0.02)57.9% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.39% (0.02 0.02)78.61% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Goias Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.89% (0.02300000000001 0.02)24.11% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.6% (0.033999999999999 0.03)58.41% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Universitario Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.02% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)38.99% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.29% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)75.71% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Goias 48.16%
    Universitario 24.94%
    Draw 26.89%
GoiasDrawUniversitario
1-0 @ 13.37%
2-0 @ 9.51% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 48.16%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 9.4% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26.89%
0-1 @ 8.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.17% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 24.94%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bahia 1-1 Goias
Saturday, May 20 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 2-1 Botafogo
Sunday, May 14 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Goias
Thursday, May 11 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 0-5 Palmeiras
Sunday, May 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-2 Goias
Thursday, May 4 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Internacional 1-0 Goias
Sunday, April 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Universitario 2-0 Santa Fe
Friday, May 5 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Universitario 2-2 Goias
Friday, April 21 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-1 Universitario
Thursday, April 6 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Universitario 2-0 Cienciano
Friday, March 10 at 2am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Universitario 0-1 Barcelona
Thursday, March 3 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Barcelona 2-0 Universitario
Thursday, February 24 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores


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