Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 35.68%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (11.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Goias would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.07) 
