Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Goias had a probability of 18.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
-1.39) 
0.62) 
