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Brasileiro | Gameweek 7
May 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
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Bahia
1 - 1
Goias

Stum (25')
Carlos (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Melo (31')
Ricardo (36'), Avila (37'), Alesson (62'), Maguinho (69')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Goias.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bahia 2-3 Flamengo
Saturday, May 13 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 2-1 Botafogo
Sunday, May 14 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Goias had a probability of 18.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
BahiaDrawGoias
58.11% (-1.392 -1.39) 23.24% (0.622 0.62) 18.65% (0.765 0.77)
Both teams to score 48.79% (-0.511 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.5% (-1.4 -1.4)50.5% (1.394 1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.57% (-1.251 -1.25)72.42% (1.244 1.24)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.89% (-0.979 -0.98)17.11% (0.973 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.68% (-1.751 -1.75)47.31% (1.744 1.74)
Goias Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.86% (0.074000000000005 0.07)41.14% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.32% (0.065999999999999 0.07)77.68% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 58.1%
    Goias 18.65%
    Draw 23.23%
BahiaDrawGoias
1-0 @ 12.42% (0.29 0.29)
2-0 @ 10.97% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.46% (-0.272 -0.27)
3-1 @ 5.74% (-0.228 -0.23)
4-0 @ 2.85% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.189 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 58.1%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.28 0.28)
0-0 @ 7.04% (0.388 0.39)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.23%
0-1 @ 6.25% (0.357 0.36)
1-2 @ 4.9% (0.136 0.14)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.164 0.16)
1-3 @ 1.45% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 18.65%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Bahia 2-3 Flamengo
Saturday, May 13 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 3-0 Bahia
Wednesday, May 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 3-1 Coritiba
Sunday, May 7 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 0-1 Bahia
Tuesday, May 2 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 1-2 Botafogo
Tuesday, April 25 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 2-1 Bahia
Saturday, April 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 2-1 Botafogo
Sunday, May 14 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Goias
Thursday, May 11 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 0-5 Palmeiras
Sunday, May 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-2 Goias
Thursday, May 4 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Internacional 1-0 Goias
Sunday, April 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 3-1 Corinthians
Sunday, April 23 at 11pm in Brasileiro


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