SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 49.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Gomel had a probability of 24.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Gomel win it was 1-0 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gomel | Draw | Shakhtyor Soligorsk |
24.87% ( -0.18) | 25.36% ( 0.07) | 49.76% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 50.61% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.74% ( -0.42) | 52.25% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.04% ( -0.36) | 73.96% ( 0.36) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.07% ( -0.38) | 35.93% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.29% ( -0.4) | 72.71% ( 0.4) |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.98% ( -0.12) | 21.02% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.2% ( -0.19) | 53.8% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gomel | Draw | Shakhtyor Soligorsk |
| 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.92% Total : 24.87% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.19% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.86% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.48% Total : 49.76% |
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