SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 43.94%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Gomel had a probability of 26.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Gomel win it was 1-0 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gomel | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
26.47% ( 0.72) | 29.59% ( -0.36) | 43.94% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 40.63% ( 1.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.33% ( 1.34) | 65.67% ( -1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.64% ( 0.92) | 84.36% ( -0.92) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.96% ( 1.44) | 42.04% ( -1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.53% ( 1.22) | 78.47% ( -1.22) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.09% ( 0.48) | 29.91% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.99% ( 0.58) | 66.01% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gomel | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.15% Total : 26.47% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 12.57% ( -0.64)2-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.43% Total : 29.59% | 0-1 @ 15.17% ( -0.56) 0-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.21)1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.33% Total : 43.94% |
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