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League Two | Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
AS

Grimsby Town
0 - 2
Accrington


Waterfall (17')
Waterfall (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Whalley (74'), Andrews (82')
Leigh (51'), Martin (66')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Grimsby Town 2-2 Accrington Stanley

Both sides have been scoring and conceding relatively freely during the opening period of the campaign, so we expect to see an entertaining encounter play out in Lincolnshire. Neither team should have any concerns about relegation this season, but equally a playoff push could be slightly beyond them, and we can envisage a score draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawAccrington Stanley
44.17% (0.118 0.12) 25.48% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01) 30.35% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 54.29% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (0.009999999999998 0.01)49.35% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)71.4% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7% (0.059999999999988 0.06)22.3% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.24% (0.087999999999994 0.09)55.76% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.87% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)30.13% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.73% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)66.27% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 44.17%
    Accrington Stanley 30.35%
    Draw 25.47%
Grimsby TownDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.08% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.56% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.78% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 44.17%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 30.35%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-2 Bradford
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Tranmere 2-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-1 Barrow
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-3 Crawley
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 3-5 Accrington
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Accrington 2-1 Forest Green
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Accrington
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 1-3 Stockport
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 2-0 Accrington
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 4-1 Sutton
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League Two


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