SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
39.9% ( 0.09) | 23.8% ( -0.06) | 36.3% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 62.14% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.04% ( 0.26) | 39.95% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.68% ( 0.27) | 62.32% ( -0.27) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.71% ( 0.16) | 20.29% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.35% ( 0.25) | 52.65% ( -0.25) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.95% ( 0.1) | 22.04% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.62% ( 0.15) | 55.37% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 39.9% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 36.3% |
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