Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
0.09) 
-0.06) 
