Both Forest Green and Grimsby enter Saturday's clash in buoyant mood following their midweek FA Cup victories, and the two teams will view this fixture as a winnable game in their quest to steer themselves away from danger in League Two.
Grimsby's dismal away record bodes well for Forest Green, but we believe that the visitors will do enough to claim a share of the spoils in an entertaining contest at the New Lawn.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.