Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%).
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